Water AlliesTier 2
at Store Champion
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.3%
avg ELO -8.7 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1265
· median 1265
· range 1265–1265
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1208
Q3 1399
1522
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Wind Byakko | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.2 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
